US Open betting tips: Torrey Pines suits big hitters
Preview and odds for 2021 event
Torrey Pines hosts major championship golf for the first time in 13 years as we pick out some US Open betting tips for this week’s tournament in San Diego.
Tiger Woods needed 19 play-off holes to defeat Rocco Mediate at the Californian course in this event in 2008 to claim his 14th major title, despite the then-world number one suffering a stress fracture and torn ACL during the tournament.
Neither Woods or Mediate will be at Torrey Pines, but recent US PGA Championship winner Phil Mickelson will hope to finally add the US Open to his collection on home soil.
The San Diego-born six-time major champion has finished second at this event on six occasions and is 50/1 to finally break his duck, which would see him join Gene Sarazen, Ben Hogan, Gary Player, Jack Nicklaus and Woods in completing the career grand slam.
He has some big-hitting competition as the world-class field aim to tackle the brutal 7,802-yard course, with defending champion Bryson De Chambeau hoping to emulate arch-rival Brooks Koepka in retaining his crown from Winged Foot in September.
De Chambeau and Koepka are joint second-favourites at 14/1 in the US Open odds on the South Course as we look at other contenders for the third major championship of the season.
Rahm recovered and ready to roar
Jon Rahm was desperately unlucky during his last event, The Memorial Tournament, where he led by six shots heading into the final round, only to discover that he had tested positive for coronavirus and was forced to withdraw.
The Spaniard was distraught after finding out the news on the 18th green but comes out of self-isolation on Tuesday ahead of his tilt for a maiden major title.
His recent results and stats make him the 17/2 favourite and it’s hard to disagree with those golf odds.
Since last year’s US Open, the world number three has recorded nine top-10 finishes, including a tie for seventh over this layout earlier this year.
Rahm has already won at Torrey Pines in 2017 at the Farmers Insurance Open, where he also finished second in 2020, and is ranked second for most strokes gained from tee-to-green and third in shots gained from off the tee.
He is 23rd on the driving distance list, which will be a key component in California, while also fifth on percentage of green in regulations hit, with 71.25 per cent.
Driving to success
The long layout in San Diego will favour the big hitters on tour, which should play into the hands of De Chambeau.
He averages 322.7 yards with the driver, leading the charts ahead of Rory McIlroy – chasing his first major trophy since 2014 at a price of 16/1 – at 318.6.
World number one Dustin Johnson – also 14/1 – is sixth on the list with an average of 314.4 yards while two-time U.S. Open champion Koepka is in the top 20 which puts him into contention.
Norway’s Viktor Hovland hits it over 300 yards off the tee, where he is ranked fifth for shots gained, and the world number 13 has been in terrific form this season.
The 23-year-old is fifth in the FedEx Cup rankings thanks to his consistent season, which has yielded six top-10 finishes, and the 2018 US Amateur champion is 20/1 to come out victorious.
For those looking to pick one of the outsiders for their US Open betting tips, Ryan Palmer has finished runner-up on two occasions around this course at the Farmers Insurance Open in 2018 and 2021 and is a 125/1 chance.
Alternatively, Australia’s Marc Leishman is priced at 66/1 following his victory at the same event in 2020 and second-placed finishes in 2010 and 2014.
All odds and markets correct as of date of publication