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The Open betting tips: Rahm must defy trend

| 14.07.2021
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Odds and preview for The Open Championship 2021

The Open Championship returns to Royal St George’s in Sandwich, Kent, for the 15th time this week and we have picked out some The Open betting tips.

For the first time since World War II, The Open was not played last year so Shane Lowry will bid to become the first since Padraig Harrington (2006 and 2007) to successfully defend his title, having won the Claret Jug at Royal Portrush in 2019.

Royal St George’s is a par-70 links course that measures 7,211 yards. The last Open Championship contested on this course – known for its undulating terrain, unpredictable bounces, deep bunkers and variable weather conditions – was in 2011 and was won by Darren Clarke.

Coral have a wide range of markets available and we have highlighted some of the options in our look at The Open specials but here we focus on the outright market.

Each round of The Open Championship will be broadcast on Sky Sports, with coverage starting on Thursday at 6.30am.

Market leaders

Jon Rahm bids to become only the seventh golfer to win the US Open and Open Championship in the same year.

In 2011, Sandwich seemed to suit the longer hitters. Those who can manipulate the ball, especially with trajectory and flight of the ball being so important in windy conditions, have fared well.

No world number one since 2000 – Tiger Woods aside – has won The Open and Spaniard Rahm, who gained some useful links preparation when a decent 16-under seventh place at last week’s Scottish Open, is the 7/1 favourite.

It is worth noting when picking The Open betting tips that 14 of the last 20 winners had won a tournament in the season prior to lifting the Claret Jug.

Phoenix Open winner Brooks Koepka earned back-to-back top-five finishes in the US Open and the Travelers Championship before taking a two-week break ahead of The Open. He comes to Royal St George’s in great form and is 14/1 to win.

Brooks Koepka features in The Open betting tips

Despite missing the cut at the Scottish Open, Wells Fargo winner Rory McIlroy has had experience at the course, playing it twice as an amateur and when T25 in 2011. He had an early look at the course with a practice round on Sunday and is 14/1 to lift the Claret Jug.

Though 2020 Masters winner Dustin Johnson clinched the Saudi International earlier this season, he has only posted two top-10s since. Yet the past nine Open winners previously finished in the top 10 of an Open at least once prior to lifting the Claret Jug, and big-hitter Johnson falls into that category. He is a 16/1 shot.

The subtleties and nuances of this course require the ball to be stopped fairly quickly with the right degree of spin, and the strategic nature of the game-plan will suit Players Championship winner Justin Thomas, who can be considered in The Open betting tips at 16/1.

The 2017 Open winner Jordan Spieth won the Texas Open and has eight top-10 finishes this season, including a T3 in the Masters. His consistent putting and scrambling ability should see him contend at 18/1.

At larger odds

Long hitter Bryson DeChambeau, the winner of the Arnold Palmer Invitational and in contention at the US Open last month until imploding on the back nine, is breaking in a new caddy but has not missed a cut since February and is a 22/1 chance.

Two wins – at the Memorial Tournament and the Zozo Championship – along with two other top-10 finishes this term means Patrick Cantlay is flying under the radar a little. He has a T41 and a T12 finish in his previous two Open Championships and can be backed at 30/1 in The Open odds.

The 2018 Masters champion and two-time World Golf Championship winner Patrick Reed was T12 at Royal Troon in 2016 and 10th at Royal Portrush in 2019. His Farmers Insurance Open win was one of five top-10 finishes this season and his Open Championship betting odds are 33/1.

Patrick Reed features in The Open betting tips

Daniel Berger, winner of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, has yet to fare well in an Open, with a T27 at Royal Birkdale in 2017 his best in three attempts. Yet his T2 at the Byron Nelson and T7 at the US Open underlines his fine recent form and he is a 50/1 chance to win at Royal St George’s.

Similarly on a good run is Marc Leishman, who won in New Orleans and was third at the Travelers Championship. He has three other top-10 finishes this year and though still seeking an elusive first major, his near miss in 2015 suggests The Open is the best chance for the 55/1 shot.

The last of our The Open betting tips is Sam Burns who won the Valspar Championship and held the lead in the Byron Nelson in rounds two and three before finishing runner-up.

With four top-10 finishes this year, the 24-year-old may go well at odds of 90/1.

View the latest Open Championship odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Andrew McDermott

Andrew is a sports betting content journalist at PA Media. He is a lifelong Huddersfield Town fan but when he isn't reminiscing about their Premier League days he is also a junior cricket coach and enjoys cycling.