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Mexico Grand Prix betting tips: Key role for Perez

| 04.11.2021

Preview and odds for Sunday’s race

The thrilling see-saw title battle between Max Verstappen and Lewis Hamilton has reached the final five races of the season.

Verstappen bolstered his position at the top of the standings with a dramatic victory at the United States Grand Prix last time out, stretching his lead to 13 points by holding off a charging Hamilton in the closing stages in Austin.

Now the Formula One bandwagon has crossed the border into Mexico as Hamilton bids to cut the gap to the Dutchman.

The seven-time world champion is 7/4 to see the chequered flag first as we look at some Mexico Grand Prix betting tips.

Pressure on Mercedes to deliver

Hamilton arrived at Austin six points behind Verstappen and was expected to retake the championship lead at a track where he has dominated in previous years.

Mercedes appeared to have found the edge on Red Bull in terms of pace, but Christian Horner’s team pulled something out the bag as Verstappen landed pole with Sergio Perez qualifying third.

A slow start from the Dutchman allowed Hamilton to take the lead, but aggressive pit strategy saw Verstappen reclaim the advantage and he showed there is enough pace in his car to match Mercedes.

Mexico is expected to play to Red Bull’s strengths and they will be determined to continue their form from the last race to take a firm grip on the drivers’ championship and chase down Mercedes for the constructors’ crown.

Since the race returned to the F1 calendar in 2015, both men have claimed two wins in Mexico City. Verstappen is 8/11 favourite for victory.

Perez holds key to title scrap

Sergio Perez has had a mixed debut season at Red Bull but has shown signs in recent weeks that he has found his feet.

The Mexican will be roared on by a raucous home crowd this weekend on the back of successive podium places in Istanbul and Austin. His form has helped Red Bull cut the gap in the constructors’ race but his proximity to the leading pair and ahead of Hamilton’s team-mate Valtteri Bottas also gives his team the edge on strategy.

Perez has never finished outside the top 10 in Mexico – excluding one retirement – while driving inferior cars so will expect a strong showing on home soil this weekend.

Red Bull are 6/5 to secure their third double podium in a row, while Bottas is 7/4 in the Mexico Grand Prix odds to make the podium for the first time in four races.

Ferrari form gives Scuderia edge in McLaren scrap

Aside from the title tussle there has been a fierce season-long battle to be best of the rest between McLaren and Ferrari.

The two famous names have been neck and neck throughout the season and head to Mexico separated by just three-and-a-half points.

But it is Ferrari who have shown the best form in the last two races, with a new engine they introduced in Istanbul working well and the pairing of Charles Leclerc and Carlos Sainz pushing each other to strong results.

Leclerc was only denied a podium in Turkey by late rain before a commanding drive to finish fourth in Austin. Spaniard Sainz is just five-and-a-half points adrift of his team-mate in the standings in his debut season with the Scuderia.

The pair appear to have taken the edge on McLaren duo Lando Norris and Daniel Ricciardo. Leclerc can be backed at 5/2 to finish on the podium in Mexico Grand Prix betting tips, while a double top-six finish for Ferrari is available at 6/4.

View the latest F1 odds

All odds and markets correct at the time of publication



Andrew McDermott

Andrew is a sports betting content journalist at PA Media. He is a lifelong Huddersfield Town fan but when he isn't reminiscing about their Premier League days he is also a junior cricket coach and enjoys cycling.