Sweden v Canada betting tips: Gold is a Swede sensation

Preview of Friday’s gold medal match

After an enthralling Tokyo 2020 Olympics women’s football tournament, we reach the gold medal match and scout the odds to find some Sweden v Canada betting tips.

Canada saw off pre-tournament favourites USA with a single-goal win in the semi-final, while Sweden downed Australia by the same 1-0 score in the other last-four match.

Friday’s gold medal match takes place at the National Stadium in Tokyo, Japan, and is live on Eurosport 2 with a 3am BST kick-off.

Sweden v Canada match odds

Canada stunned world champions USA, handing them a shock 1-0 defeat in Kashima on Monday.

It was their first victory over their border rivals in 20 years and they are 19/5 to win the final in 90 minutes.

Jessie Fleming’s 75th-minute penalty settled the contest – and that was determined by VAR. USA defender Tierna Davidson stretched to challenge Deanne Rose on the edge of the penalty area, and after a video review, a spot-kick was awarded.

Though Canada suffered a scare when Carli Lloyd’s header smacked the bar, Beverley Priestman’s side held on for a famous win.

Canada, who went home with bronze in 2012 and 2016, are 19/20 to win or draw the match in 90 minutes in the Double Chance market, and can be backed at 15/8 to win the gold medal in Sweden v Canada betting tips.

Sweden beat Australia 1-0 thanks to a 46th-minute goal from Fridolina Rolfo to return to the final after their silver medal in Rio five years ago.

Sweden, who lost to Germany in the Rio final, were a little fortunate to see a Sam Kerr goal ruled out just before half-time.

Yet 45 seconds into the second half, they gained the all-important goal, when Australia goalkeeper Teagan Micah could only push a looping, deflected shot from Filippa Angeldal against the bar and Rolfo hooked in the loose ball.

Sweden were the only team to win all of their group games and have seen off both hosts Japan and Australia in the knockout rounds without the need for extra time.

Sweden are 5/6 to win the final in 90 minutes, and 4/11 to win gold.

Sweden v Canada head-to-head

The Sweden v Canada betting tips stats show that Sweden dominate the historic record, claiming 14 wins to Canada’s five in 23 previous meetings, with four others ending all square.

The draw is available at 9/4 and it is 5/1 that the game ends in a 1-1 draw.

Their most recent encounter was at the 2019 Algarve Cup, which finished 0-0 after 120 minutes, with Canada winning on penalties.

Sweden won 3-1 in a 2018 Algarve Cup match, but Canada’s last non-penalties win in this fixture was back in 2014.

It is 10/1 for Canada to win but concede in 90 minutes, and 11/2 that both teams score in the first half.

Sweden v Canada team news

Both teams come into the final at full strength and that means Canada will again field a strong defensive formation that has served them so well.

Allysha Chapman, Kadeisha Buchanan, Ashley Lawrence and Vanessa Gilles have built a red wall that has yet to see them concede a goal in the knockout stage.

Canada are 13/5 to keep a clean sheet and are 6/1 to win to nil.

Sweden were made to work hard for their wins over Japan and Australia, and the onus will be on them to prise open the Canadian defence without leaving themselves open to the counter-attack.

For Sweden v Canada betting tips, 15/4 for Sweden to win but concede is an option and it is 2/1 that they lead at half-time and full-time.

Sweden v Canada key battles

Evergreen captain and all-time world international leading goalscorer Christine Sinclair (above) won’t need to fire up her teammates, but she will be relied upon to play a little higher up the pitch than she did in the semi-final.

Sweden will be patient and as they showed in their opener against the USA, are capable of routinely overrunning any side with their powerful midfield.

Peter Gerhadsson will look to striker Stina Blackstenius to deliver the goods up front and her ability in the air is a major weapon.

Cutting off the delivery from both flanks will be Canada’s first task in a game where the first goal could be all-important.

Sweden are 12/5 to score in each half and are 14/1 to win 3-0.

View the latest Olympic Women’s football odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication