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Premier League betting tips: City and Clarets in pole position

| 21.05.2022

Premier League betting tips and odds ahead of the final day

Manchester City and Liverpool will battle to be crowned Premier League champions on Sunday, while either Burnley or Leeds will be relegated.

Moreover, authorities will hope there is no continuation of the violent pitch invasions which are blighting English football.

Instead of the usual Premier League betting tips, here we pick out six of the main talking points going into the final day of the top-flight season and the odds for various outcomes.

Title tussle

A fascinating two-horse race is poised for a thrilling climax. Manchester City are in pole position as the 1/7 favourites ahead of hosting Aston Villa – a point better off than quadruple-chasing Liverpool, who welcome Wolves to Anfield and are 9/2 to snatch the title.

There are also plenty of intriguing sub plots. Reds great Steven Gerrard – the current Villa boss – could do his former club a major favour, while City forward Jack Grealish could clinch – or be denied – the first major silverware of his career against his boyhood club.

City’s superior goal difference means Liverpool almost certainly need to win. An inconceivable 6-0 loss for Pep Guardiola’s side (they are 18/1 just to lose the game) coupled with an equally unlikely 5-5 draw for Liverpool would force an unprecedented play-off.

Scrap for survival

Everton’s dramatic win over Crystal Palace on Thursday evening has left just two clubs fighting to avoid joining Watford and Norwich in dropping into the Championship.

Burnley and Leeds go into crucial fixtures locked on 35 points, with the former currently just above the drop zone courtesy of a vastly superior goal difference.

The Clarets host Newcastle at Turf Moor knowing they only have to match Leeds’ result at Brentford in order to prolong their top-flight stay to a seventh season and they are 5/4 for the win which would send Leeds down.

The West Yorkshire club have taken just two points from the last 15 available and not won at the Bees since 1950. They head to west London as 9/5 underdogs and are 13/5 for a draw which would be enough if Burnley lose.

In the relegation betting, Burnley are 15/8 to go down and 4/11 for survival, with the prices the other way round for Leeds.

Disturbing scenes

Crowd disorder has marred English football ahead of the top-flight finale. A Nottingham Forest fan was this week jailed for assaulting Sheffield United’s Billy Sharp during a pitch invasion at the City Ground, while there were also ugly scenes as fans spilled onto pitches following EFL play-off matches at Northampton and Port Vale.

The Premier League has not been exempt from the worrying trend. Crystal Palace manager Patrick Vieira appeared to swing a kick at an Everton fan on Thursday evening after seemingly being goaded at Goodison Park.

With plenty at stake at both ends of the division, almost all in football will hope there is no continuation of the disturbing scenes.

Spurs marching in

While the race for fourth place may hold little interest for neutrals, it has been the talk of north London for months.

Tottenham already look to have done enough to see off the challenge of fierce rivals Arsenal for the final Champions League spot and are 1/33 favourites to complete the job away to bottom club Norwich.

The Gunners have fallen from a position of power to almost requiring a miracle at 11/1. Mikel Arteta’s men, who host Everton, are two points behind their neighbours, while an inferior goal difference means they must win and hope Spurs suffer a shock defeat at Carrow Road.

New era dawns for United

Manchester United fans will not be disappointed to see the back of the club’s worst Premier League season from a points perspective.

While protests against the Glazer family’s ownership are likely to continue, a new era is set to begin at Old Trafford with the arrival of Erik ten Hag. The Dutchman, who will replace interim manager Ralf Rangnick, is expected to be at Selhurst Park to watch his new side face Crystal Palace.

Erik ten Hag, Manchester United, Dutch managers

Sixth-placed United travel to south London having yet to secure Europa League qualification, although they are 1/5 to do so. West Ham – who visit Brighton – are 10/3 to take advantage of any slip-up and condemn incoming boss Ten Hag to a Europa Conference League campaign.

Son could eclipse Salah

Mohamed Salah may miss out on the Premier League title on Sunday but could end the campaign with the Golden Boot as his consolation prize.

The Egyptian has looked a banker to be the top scorer for most of the season but his recent barren run in front of goal means he could be caught by Tottenham’s Son Heung-min, who is just one behind.

Salah has only scored three goals since the start of March and has failed to find the net in his last seven matches in all competitions, leaving him on 22 Premier League goals.

In contrast, Son has 12 goals in his last 13 league games and could easily add to that tally on Sunday, with Norwich having the worst defensive record in the division.

Salah is 1/2 to claim the honour but the value for Premier League betting tips is surely Son at 11/8.

View the latest Premier League odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication



Andrew McDermott

Andrew is a sports betting content journalist at PA Media. He is a lifelong Huddersfield Town fan but when he isn't reminiscing about their Premier League days he is also a junior cricket coach and enjoys cycling.