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Mexico v Brazil betting tips: Selecao favourites to go for gold

| 02.08.2021
SPORTSBOOK ODDS

Preview and odds for Tuesday’s Olympics men’s semi-final

The semi-finals of the men’s Olympics football tournament include a repeat of the 2012 London Olympics final, and we look at some potential Mexico v Brazil betting tips.

Mexico advanced with a crushing defeat of South Korea, while Brazil sneaked past a gritty Egypt.

The semi-final clash takes place in the Ibaraki Kashima Stadium on Tuesday and kicks off at 9.00am BST.

Mexico v Brazil match odds

The 2012 London Olympics winners Mexico have also been scoring for fun in this tournament but are the 5/2 underdogs to win in 90 minutes against Brazil.

A 4-1 opening win over France was followed by a shock 2-1 defeat by Japan. They secured their quarter-final place with a 3-0 success over South Africa, finishing group runners-up to the host nation.

Again, the goals flowed in their last-eight clash with South Korea, with two goals apiece form Henry Martin and Sebastian Cordova, and one each from Luis Romo and Eduardo Aguirre giving Mexico a 6-3 victory.

Mexico are 13/10 to reach the final and are 15/8 to score two goals or more against Brazil in 90 minutes.

Brazil have yet to lose a game at this tournament and are 11/10 to win in 90 minutes.

They opened their group phase with a 4-2 win over Germany and they put three past Saudi Arabia. Their only minor blip was a 0-0 draw with Ivory Coast and another draw after 90 minutes is on offer at 12/5.

The Selecao had Matheus Cunha to thank for their narrow 1-0 victory over Egypt in the quarter-final in Saitama as the Pharaohs failed to score for the third time in four games.

Mexico fans, Mexico v Brazil betting tips

Mexico v Brazil head-to-head

The last time these two sides faced each other competitively was at the 2018 World Cup, where the senior Brazil side won 2-0.

The Mexico v Brazil betting tips stats show that Brazil have won five of the last seven meetings, with one game drawn.

It is 3/1 that Brazil win and both teams score in 90 minutes. They are 6/4 second-favourites to win gold.

The last five meetings have seen fewer than three total goals scored in each game and it is 20/23 that this will be the case again.

Mexico won the 2012 London Olympics final, shocking Brazil 2-1 at Wembley Stadium and it is 10/1 that Mexico win the semi-final by the same score.

Mexico v Brazil team news

Mexico right-back Jorge Sanchez is suspended for too many yellow cards and Jesus Angulo may come into his place, while Erick Aguirre is a major injury doubt.

Carlos Rodriguez returns from his own suspension and might slot straight back into the starting XI.

Mexico are 5/1 to win but concede and are 6/1 to draw at half-time but go on to win the match in 90 minutes.

Brazil are sweating over Cunha’s fitness after the midfielder was forced off with a thigh problem in the quarter-final.

He scored the winner in that match and it would be a huge loss for Andre Jardine’s side if he is indeed ruled out.

Runners-up in 2012 and gold medalists in 2016, Brazil are 9/1 to win 2-0 and 13/5 to win the match to nil.

Mexico v Brazil key battles

For all Brazil’s storied attacking philosophy, they have looked very solid at the back and have conceded just three goals in four games.

In contrast, Mexico may have scored 14 goals in four games, but they conceded too easily against South Korea, with Lee Dong-gyeong hitting a brace and Hwang Ui-jo adding another.

Richarlison has been in great form and has netted five times in four games. Mexico’s game-plan will be to cut the supply line to the Everton man, and El Tri are 3/1 to keep a clean sheet and are 6/1 to win gold.

View the latest Olympics men’s football odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Simon Milham