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League Two promotion odds: Morecambe hope to prove superiority

| 17.05.2021
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Preview and odds for League Two play-offs

The League Two play-offs are the last to begin and the last to be decided at Wembley but should produce plenty of drama.

Cheltenham were crowned champions while Cambridge and Bolton are already up but here we assess the chances of the four teams hoping to join them and their League Two promotion odds.

Morecambe

Morecambe can count themselves slightly unfortunate to miss out on automatic promotion but are the 9/4 favourites to get their reward in the play-offs.

The Shrimps won five of their last six matches but the only setback in that time proved costly as a 1-0 defeat against Bolton resulted in them ultimately finishing a point behind third-placed Wanderers.

Morecambe finished five points clear of all their play-off rivals which should give them some confidence but suffered home defeats against all three, although they at least managed a 1-0 win at semi-final opponents Tranmere.

Manager Derek Adams guided Plymouth to the League Two play-off final in 2016 and could be the man to lead Morecambe into the third tier for the first time in their history.

Newport

Newport are 11/4 to return to the third tier for the first time since their relegation in 1987, having been wound up and reformed since then.

They ended the season unbeaten in five matches and only conceded one goal during that run, although that threatened to cost them a play-off place as they went behind at relegated Southend on the final day before rescuing the point they needed.

Mike Flynn’s men are used to the big occasions as a result of their FA Cup exploits in recent years and will hope to make the most of home advantage in the second leg against Forest Green, having had the joint-best home record in the division this season.

Rodney Parade, Newport

Forest Green

Forest Green only finished below Newport on goal difference and are also available at 11/4 in the League Two play-off betting ahead of their semi-finals.

Rovers may only be in their fourth season in the Football League but this is their second appearance in the play-offs at this level.

They reached the end-of-season shoot-out in 2019, along with Tranmere and Newport, but had a man sent off in both legs of the semi-final as they lost 2-1 on aggregate to the Prenton Park outfit.

Back-to-back wins against Tranmere (2-1) and Oldham (3-0) mean they head into the play-offs in decent form but they are without top scorer Jamille Matt, who was ruled out for the rest of the season after suffering a serious hand injury in March.

Tranmere

Tranmere took the unusual step of sacking their manager ahead of the play-offs and chairman Mark Palios will now be hoping the gamble pays off.

The Wirral side finished seventh in the table but will now go into their semi-final against Morecambe under the temporary charge of Ian Dawes following the dismissal of Keith Hill.

Rovers have only managed two wins from their last 11 matches but have already been to Wembley this season, having lost to Sunderland in the EFL Trophy final.

That experience could benefit them if they get past Morecambe and Dawes performed well in a caretaker capacity following the departure of Mike Jackson last autumn.

Making a managerial change at this stage seems far from ideal, though, and Tranmere are the outsiders at 3/1 for promotion.

View the latest League Two odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Andrew McDermott

Andrew is a sports betting content journalist at PA Media. He is a lifelong Huddersfield Town fan but when he isn't reminiscing about their Premier League days he is also a junior cricket coach and enjoys cycling.