Lorenzo Insigne could be the hero again in our Italy v Spain betting tips
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Italy v Spain betting tips: Form guide favours Italy

| 05.07.2021

Preview and odds for Tuesday’s semi-final

All the focus at Euro 2020 now switches to Wembley and we have picked out some possible Italy v Spain betting tips for the first semi-final.

Spain have a great recent record at the European Championship but Italy have looked one of the best teams in the tournament as they attempt to make up for missing out on the 2018 World Cup by reaching the final, where they would face the winners of England v Denmark.

Tuesday’s match is live on BBC One and kicks off at 8pm.

Italy v Spain match odds

Italy’s fine form under coach Roberto Mancini continued on Friday as a 2-1 victory over Belgium extended their unbeaten run to 32 games.

They also became the first team to win 15 consecutive European Championship matches and they are the 3/4 favourites to now reach the final and 6/4 to win in 90 minutes.

Napoli frontman Lorenzo Insigne’s sumptuous 44th-minute strike ultimately settled a thrilling heavyweight battle in Munich as Italy progressed at the expense of FIFA’s number one-ranked side.

Nicolo Barella had fired the Azzurri into a 31st-minute lead which Insigne doubled and although Romelu Lukaku’s penalty in first-half stoppage time had given the Belgians hope, they could not get themselves back on level terms.

Italy won all three group matches by an aggregate score of 7-0 and were back to their best against Belgium, having needed extra time to get past Austria in the round of 16.

Spain made much harder work of beating 10-man Switzerland and had to hold their nerve in a penalty shootout to reach the last four.

That kept them on course for a third European title in four editions but they are the 21/20 underdogs to reach the final and 21/10 to win in normal time.

Italy have now scored 11 goals and Spain 12 so this could be an entertaining game and both teams to score can be added to Italy v Spain betting tips at 10/11 while over 2.5 goals stands out at 5/4.

Alvaro Morata features in our Italy v Spain betting tips

Italy v Spain head-to-head

This is a re-run of the European Championship final in 2012 when Spain were at their peak and cruised to a stunning 4-0 victory in Kiev.

They have met six times since then and there have been three draws, with this match 21/10 to go to extra time while either team can be backed at 10/1 to win on penalties.

The most recent meeting was in World Cup qualifying in 2017 when Isco’s first-half double helped Spain to a 3-0 win but Italy were 2-0 winners at Euro 2016.

Previous XI

Italy vs Spain - Football tactics and formations
Italy: Donnarumma, Di Lorenzo, Chiellini, Spinazzola, Bonucci, Verratti, Jorginho, Barella, Insigne, Chiesa, Immobile.

Spain: Simon, Azpilicueta, P Torres, Alba, Laporte, Busquets, Koke, Pedri, Morata, F Torres, Sarabia.

Team news

Italy defender Leonardo Spinazzola suffered a ruptured Achilles tendon during the Belgium game and is out for the rest of the tournament.

Paris St Germain midfielder Pablo Sarabia, who has started in all three of Spain’s victories at the tournament so far and has scored twice, will miss the semi-final with a muscle strain.

Key battles

Spain have been guilty of wasting too many chances at the Euros so far and have been fortunate not to be punished.

They drew their opening two group games and struggled to get past Switzerland so Alvaro Morata and Gerard Moreno will need to be more clinical as they come up against one of the best defences around including Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci.

Having to replace Spinazzola gives Mancini a problem, though, and Spain’s Ferran Torres will look to take advantage, with the Manchester City man 10/3 to score at any time.

View the latest Euro 2020 odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication



Andrew McDermott

Andrew is a sports betting content journalist at PA Media. He is a lifelong Huddersfield Town fan but when he isn't reminiscing about their Premier League days he is also a junior cricket coach and enjoys cycling.