Harry Kane will hope to be celebrating again as we pick out England v Italy betting tips
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England v Italy betting tips: Three Lions on brink of maiden Euro title

| 10.07.2021
SPORTSBOOK ODDS

Preview and odds for the Euro 2020 final

England need one more win to be crowned champions of Europe for the first time as we pick out England v Italy betting tips for Sunday’s Wembley showdown.

The Three Lions have reached their first major final since their famous World Cup success of 1966 and will again have home advantage as they take on 1968 champions Italy.

Sunday’s match kicks off at 8pm and will be broadcast live on both BBC One and ITV.

England v Italy match odds 

Italy are on a run of 33 games unbeaten and are appearing in their third European Championship final this century after falling at the final hurdle to France in 2000 and Spain in 2012.

Italy have also lost just twice in the last 14 meetings with England yet are the underdogs in the Euro 2020 final odds at 15/8 to win in 90 minutes and Evens to lift the trophy.

The Azzurri have impressed throughout Euro 2020. Free-scoring and a joy to watch in the group stages, the four-times world champions have reverted to their defensive ways as the tournament has progressed.

They needed extra time to beat Austria in the last 16 and after beating Belgium 2-1 in the quarter-finals, went through to the final after downing Spain in a penalty shoot-out at Wembley, following a 1-1 draw in 90 minutes.

Will Jorginho be the spot-kick hero again in England v Italy betting tips?

Italy have scored 12 goals at Euro 2020, their joint-highest total at a major tournament, with Federico Chiesa netting twice in his past three games, having managed just one goal in his previous 28 appearances. He is 9/2 to score at any time in the final.

Roberto Mancini took over as boss in May 2018 after Italy failed to qualify for the World Cup in Russia, and quickly set Italy on an unbeaten run that still remains.

His men have regularly eschewed slow build-up play, preferring to attack at speed, often in transition. With the pace of Lorenzo Insigne and Ciro Immobile, no other team has been as dangerous on the counter-attack at this tournament.

Immobile is 4/1 to score the first goal in the final and Italy are 4/9 to win or draw the game in the double chance market.

England went into their semi-final against Denmark on a wave of expectation and optimism after the last-16 victory against Germany at Wembley was followed up by the emphatic 4-0 demolition of Ukraine in the quarter-final in Rome.

But having fallen at the semi-final stage of the 2018 World Cup, Italia 90 World Cup and at Euro 96, it was understandable that nerves would play a part in the semi-final against Denmark.

Yet England manager Gareth Southgate’s side showed plenty of character to come from behind to beat the Danes 2-1 after extra-time thanks to a first-half own-goal leveller from Simon Kjaer and captain Harry Kane’s winner in the first period of extra time, converting the rebound from his saved penalty which has kept him in contention for the Euro 2020 golden boot.

Harry Kane's goal against Denmark means we are picking England v Italy betting tips for the final

It was his fourth goal of the tournament and he is 7/2 to finish it as Euro 2020 top scorer.

England have kept clean sheets in 10 of their last 11 European Championship matches at Wembley, Mikkel Damsgaard’s stunning free-kick the only goal the Three Lions have conceded in the tournament.

A victory to nil can be added to England v Italy betting tips at 29/10.

England are marginal favourites at 7/4 to win in 90 minutes and 8/11 to lift the trophy.

England v Italy head-to-head

England will seek to avenge their 2012 European Championship quarter-final defeat by Italy on penalties after a goalless draw in Kyiv.

Their other meeting in this competition came in Turin in 1980, when Marco Tardelli’s goal handed Italy a 1-0 win in their Group B clash.

Italy have won 10 of the previous 27 official meetings since 1933, with nine games drawn, and the final can be backed at 2/1 to go to extra time in England v Italy betting tips.

Italy have never lost to England at a major finals, with 2-1 World Cup victories in 1990 (third-place play-off) and 2014 (group stage) added to those Euro triumphs.

Italy are 17/5 to win to nil but five of the last six meetings saw both sides score and it is 21/20 for that to happen again in 90 minutes.

Eight of the last nine European Championship finals have seen fewer than three total goals scored. Similarly, Italy and England invariably play out low-scoring encounters, with seven of the last 10 meetings yielding fewer than three goals. It is 6/4 that there will be more than 2.5 goals in the game.

Previous XI

England vs Italy - Football tactics and formations

England: Pickford, Shaw, Maguire, Stones, Walker, Rice, Phillips, Saka, Mount, Sterling, Kane

Italy: Donnarumma, Emerson, Chiellini, Bonucci, Di Lorenzo, Verratti, Jorginho, Barella, Insigne, Immobile, Chiesa

Team news

Mancini’s side looked leg-weary at times against Spain, but they have had an additional day to recover, and with their centre-half pairing of Leonardo Bonnuci (34) and Giorgio Chiellini (36) having a combined age of 70, they will need their rest.

Southgate looks set to have a fully-fit squad to choose from, with Declan Rice’s calf strain the only minor concern.

Key battles

Italy were overrun at times in midfield by Spain, with Sergio Busquets bossing influential Inter star Nicolo Barella, and the Azzurri’s shots tally has begun to dip.

They amassed a total of 64 shots in their three group games, plus 27 against Austria and 14 against world-ranked number one Belgium. Spain restricted them to just seven, with four on target.

England goalkeeper Jordan Pickford looked nervy at times in the semi-final and will surely need to have a good game if England are to win. Southgate’s men are 13/8 to keep a clean sheet in England v Italy betting tips.

Raheem Sterling is 13/8 to be voted Player of the Tournament, while Kane is 4/1. Both will fancy their chances of exploiting defensive warriors Bonucci and Chiellini, but they will need to find a way past goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma, who is 4/7 to be the Best Young Player of the Tournament.

View the latest football odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Andrew McDermott

Andrew is a sports betting content journalist at PA Media. He is a lifelong Huddersfield Town fan but when he isn't reminiscing about their Premier League days he is also a junior cricket coach and enjoys cycling.