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England v Italy betting tips: Heavyweights hard to split

| 10.06.2022
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England v Italy betting tips, odds and preview

The Euro 2020 finalists meet again on Saturday but this time there is less at stake and a much smaller crowd as we pick out some England v Italy betting tips.

Trouble at the Wembley final last summer means the Nations League clash is being held behind closed doors at Molineux.

Saturday’s match kicks off at 7.45pm and is live on Channel 4 as England seek some revenge for last year’s heartache.

Little home comfort for England

England’s Nations League campaign began with two away games and they only managed to pick up one point as a 1-0 defeat in Hungary was followed by a 1-1 draw with Germany.

England had been staring down the barrel of back-to-back losses after Jonas Hofmann put Germany in front but Harry Kane converted the penalty he won to seal an important point, reaching a half century of international goals in the process as he edges closer to Wayne Rooney’s all-time record of 53.

The Three Lions now have two successive home games but while they will have a sell-out crowd in attendance against Hungary on Tuesday, the Italy game takes place in an empty stadium.

That will hardly help the entertainment levels in a fixture which comes at the end of a gruelling domestic season and soon after the two away games.

In terms of England v Italy betting tips, the draw holds plenty of appeal at 12/5, with England 3/4 for the win and Italy 21/5.

England v Italy betting tips, football

Italy to come good again?

Recent meetings add to the feeling that there is little to separate these two teams.

Last year’s European Championship final ended in a 1-1 draw and went all the way to penalties before Italy predictably held their nerve in the shoot-out as England suffered more penalty pain.

That was the third successive 1-1 draw between these teams and that run is 11/2 to be extended.

In each of the last two meetings, England have taken a first-half lead but failed to hold on and have conceded second-half equalisers, with Luke Shaw’s second-minute opener cancelled out by Leonardo Bonucci last July.

Another draw here after England lead at half-time stands out at 16/1 for England v Italy betting tips.

Kane able to rest

Kane has played the full 90 minutes in both of England’s Nations League games so will surely be at least dropped to the bench against Italy.

He is keen to break Rooney’s scoring record as soon as possible though and will be desperate to get on as a substitute, assuming he starts on the bench.

Kane is 3/1 to score the last goal of the match and this looks a good chance for Tammy Abraham to shine having been an unused substitute in both games.

His success for Roma this season bodes well for his chances when he comes up against Italian defenders and the former Chelsea man is 7/5 to find the net or 10/3 in the first goalscorer odds.

Azzurri defence not to be feared

Italy are top of the group after two matches despite using the Nations League to begin the rebuilding process following their surprise failure to qualify for the World Cup.

They lost 3-0 to Argentina at Wembley last week in the clash between the champions of Europe and South America before drawing 1-1 with Germany and beating Hungary 2-1 in the Nations League.

Their only clean sheet in the last nine matches came against Northern Ireland so the Azzurri are perhaps not as defensively solid as in years gone by.

In terms of England v Italy betting tips, both teams to score is 21/20 while a goal in both halves and a draw is 13/2 in the #YourCall markets.

Team news

Phil Foden remains a doubt for England as he recovers from coronavirus, while Kalvin Phillips trained away from the group after suffering a dead leg in Germany.

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All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Andrew McDermott

Andrew is a sports betting content journalist at PA Media. He is a lifelong Huddersfield Town fan but when he isn't reminiscing about their Premier League days he is also a junior cricket coach and enjoys cycling.