Dani Alves, Brazil, Brazil v Spain betting tips
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Brazil v Spain betting tips: Gold standard set by Alves

| 04.08.2021
SPORTSBOOK ODDS

Preview and odds for Saturday’s men’s Olympics football final

The final of the men’s Olympics football tournament sees the defending champions up against the 1992 gold medallists, and we look at some potential Brazil v Spain betting tips.

Brazil earned the right to defend their Olympic crown after winning a penalty shoot-out with Mexico, while Spain will also be bidding for a second gold medal following their extra-time win over hosts Japan.

The final takes place in the International Yokohama Stadium on Saturday and kicks off at 12.30pm BST.

Brazil v Spain match odds

There is very little to separate the sides according to the Tokyo 2020 odds, with Brazil just shading favouritism at 8/5 to win in 90 minutes.

The Selecao were made to work hard for their final berth as Mexico took them to a penalty shoot-out following a 0-0 draw after 120 minutes.

Andre Jardine’s side almost won the game when Richarlison nipped in, only to see his glancing header strike the post with eight minutes remaining.

Outside of that, for the most part, Mexico blunted Brazil’s attacking threat in a feisty encounter which saw nine cautions issued.

It needed successful spot-kicks from 38-year-old captain Dani Alves, Gabriel Martinelli, Bruno Guimares and Reinier, plus a fine save from Santos, to give Brazil a 4-1 shoot-out win and a chance of retaining their Olympic title.

Brazil won the 2016 final against Germany on penalties and they are attempting to join Britain, Uruguay, Hungary and Argentina by defending the Olympic crown. They are 4/5 to earn the gold medal.

Marco Asensio, Spain, Brazil v Spain betting tips

Spain were also made to fight, with Marco Asensio (above) curling home the winner with five minutes of extra-time remaining, to end Japan’s hopes of Olympic gold.

La Roja’s 1-0 win means they have another chance to bag a second gold medal.

Champions on home soil in 1992 and silver medallists at Sydney 2000, Luis de la Fuente’s men are 19/10 to win the final in 90 minutes and are 10/11 to win gold.

Brazil v Spain head-to-head

Brazil and Spain have each earned a win against each other at previous Olympic Games in 1968 and 1972.

The senior sides have met nine times since 1934, with Brazil winning five and Spain winning twice. There have been two stalemates, and a draw in the final is a 2/1 chance in Brazil v Spain betting tips.

The last six times the senior sides have met resulted in one or other team drawing a blank. It is 4/6 that one or other team fails to score in 90 minutes on Saturday.

Brazil v Spain team news

A gold medal in Japan could go some way to healing Brazil’s misery after the defeat to arch-rivals Argentina in last month’s Copa America final and senior players like Alves, Diego Carlos and Santos may want it more than most.

However, there are World Cup places up for grabs and it is unlikely that Jardine will make any changes to the 4-2-3-1 system, with Everton’s Richarlison, who has five goals at the tournament, spearheading the attack. Brazil are Evens to score the first goal.

Likewise, Spain have no significant injuries and are likely to name an unchanged starting XI, with senior players Pedri and Merino anchoring the midfield.

Spain are 6/1 to win but concede in 90 minutes.

Brazil v Spain key battles

Brazil have conceded just three goals in five games, which is testament to Alves’s on-field organisation.

The evergreen defender has tasted multiple league, cup and Champions League success with Bahia, Sevilla, Barcelona, Juventus and Paris Saint-Germain.

Football’s most decorated player, with an incredible 42 trophies, will need all his experience to overcome a Spanish side chock-full of attacking talent.

This could be a tight contest and the battle for midfield supremacy will be crucial. Spain will do well to shackle Richarlison for the entire 90 minutes, isolated though he may be at times, and he could be the key man to bringing home the gold.

He can be backed at 12/5 to score at any time in Brazil v Spain betting tips and is 5/1 to score the first goal.

View the latest Olympics men’s football odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Simon Milham