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Big Match Breakdown: England v Germany

| 10.11.2017
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Old enemies do to battle at Wembley

One of international footballs most recognised fixtures takes centre-stage at Wembley on Friday night, as England host Germany.

The game will serve as good preparation for both sides ahead of next year’s World Cup in Russia.

Both England and Germany qualified handsomely for the tournament, and tonight’s game is the first in a number of fixtures for the pair in the build-up to the tournament.

Here, the Coral News Team provide you with the big match breakdown for this evening’s game…

Head-to-head

This evening’s encounter will be the 32nd time the old enemies have faced off. The visitors have won 15 of those matches, with the Three Lions just behind on 13 victories. Remarkably, there have only ever been three draws between the two sides – in 1930, 1972 and 1982.

In the last head-to-head, it was Die Mannschaft who prevailed courtesy of a Lukas Podolski strike in his international swansong.

Prior to that, England pulled off a stunning 3-2 victory in Berlin after coming back from two goals down in 2016. Harry Kane, Eric Dier and Jamie Vardy were on target that day for Roy Hodgson’s side.

The last time the two nations went head-to-head at Wembley, it was Arsenal’s Per Mertesacker who provided the only goal in the 39th minute. Only two of the Three Lions’ starters from that match are in the squad again this time, while Germany have four survivors.

The Likely XIs

Gareth Southgate has been hit with an injury crisis ahead of the game, with no fewer than six key players pulling out of the squad. That should mean starts for Danny Rose, Jake Livermore, Jesse Lingard, Marcus Rashford and Jamie Vardy – a quintet who otherwise would have begun from the bench.

Southgate is likely to go with a 3-4-3 formation and keep faith with Joe Hart in goal.

Germany should stick with a back three at Wembley, featuring Mats Hummels, Jerome Boateng and Joshua Kimmich. Arsenal ace Mesut Ozil will be central in the midfield, with Timo Werner – who has bagged six goals in eight at international level – set to lead the line on his own up-front.

England vs Germany - Football tactics and formations

Key Battles

Aside from England’s own personal battle to make use of the ball in a penetrating fashion, the Three Lions will have to be at their best to break up Germany’s fast-flowing attack. The job of Dier, in particular, will be key if the creativity of Ozil is to be stifled.

Similarly, Gareth Southgate will be hoping his pacey front-three all click. If they do, then the Germans could be forced to measure the focus they place on attacking v defending. And with both sides set to deploy wing-backs, expect plenty of action on the flanks.

The job of Danny Rose in tracking Manchester City’s Leroy Sane could also be key, especially if England’s slow centre-halves do not want to be overrun at the back.

Match Betting

Despite England having won 15 of their last 17 matches in all competitions at Wembley, the Three Lions are considered outsiders at 23/10. Meanwhile, Germany are the 23/20 favourites to make it a hat-trick of victories at the home of English football. You can back the draw at 11/5.

Thanks to a flurry of withdrawals from the squad, the Coral News Team are expecting the Three Lions to be even less fluid than usual. As a result, Germany to win to nil holds significant appeal at 13/5.

If the visitors are to score, they’re going to need a goalscorer. Timo Werner has been in excellent form at international level and is priced at 6/4 to net anytime. He’s an even more tempting 4/1 in the first goalscorer market.

However, if you do fancy England to find the net then it could be worth siding with Marcus Rashford. The Manchester United ace has bagged eight goals in 22 games so far this season and is 11/5 to score anytime at Wembley.

Big match previews, betting tips and transfer news – Coral have it all.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing

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Author

Nick Murphy