Romelu Lukaku
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Second-half goals the betting angle to take as Man Utd host Everton

| 04.12.2013

Looking at the form table that takes into account the last six rounds of Premier League fixtures, only two teams have remained unbeaten in this period and they square off at Old Trafford.

The obvious conclusion to draw from this statistic is that Manchester United and Everton will share the points, which is an eventuality that can be backed at 13/5.

However, given that David Moyes has struggled for victories against fellow top-half sides, it may pay to back his former club in the double chance market.

Man Utd have only triumphed in one of their six fixtures with opponents in the top 10 and this was Robin van Persie’s header from a corner against Arsenal.

Given that Everton’s odds are 6/5 to either win or draw, this is more than a fair price for a team that have only been beaten once in the top-flight all season.

Man Utd are 4/6 to secure the three points and this is a fixture that has been relatively reliable for them in recent campaigns.

The Red Devils have only lost three of their last 30 encounters with Everton in all competitions and they have kept clean sheets in five of last six to take place at Old Trafford.

Another Man Utd clean sheet here is available here at 6/4, but the chances of this are substantially diminished by the fact that Everton have Romelu Lukaku in their ranks.

Lukaku famously helped himself to a second-half hat-trick on his last visit to Old Trafford on the final day of last season with West Brom and arrives this time bang in form with three goals in two starts.

He is the obvious candidate from the Everton squad to find the target and can be backed at 8/1 to score first, 9/4 to find the target in the 90 minutes and 50/1 to net another hat-trick.

Man Utd have only opened the scoring in six Premier League games this season too, including only one of the three when both teams have scored at Old Trafford.

What is also interesting is that Everton have scored a minimum of two second-half goals in three of their last five top-flight outings.

Over 1.5 goals in total in the second period looks a price to keep on-side at 1/1, with Everton 11/4 to score at least twice in the match and 7/1 to do so just in the second 45 minutes.

If Lukaku is the man most likely to do the damage in front of goal for Roberto Martinez, then Wayne Rooney has to be the biggest scoring threat Man Utd possess.

With Moyes, Marouane Fellaini and Rooney, Man Utd have a three-pronged attack wanting to put one over on their former club and the England striker has scored in all four league games so far this season that Van Persie hasn’t started.

Whispers are that Van Persie could be fit to feature here, but it is unlikely that if he makes the match-day 16, that he will be thrown in from the start.

Also in Rooney’s favour is that on the last four occasions that he has scored a double for the Red Devils, he has scored again in the following fixture.

He struck twice against Tottenham last time and is 10/11 to score at any time against Everton.