Make most of money back specials for Liverpool’s trip to Man City
Manchester City have not only won all of their eight Premier League games at the Etihad this season, but they have done so by a victory margin of at least two goals.
This goes to show the size of the challenge that awaits table-toppers Liverpool ahead of their trip to the Etihad if they intend on leaving with a positive result.
However, some confidence can be gained from the 3-1 Champions League success of Bayern Munich at the Etihad and the fact that Man City have been conceding goals of late, letting in 11 in their last five outings in all competitions.
The recent 5-0 win at Tottenham should also give Liverpool hope, alongside the three they netted at an Everton side with the best defensive record in the top-flight and the form of Luis Suarez, who has scored an outrageous 10 goals in his last four Premier League appearances.
Therefore, there is a case to be made that if any Premier League team can win at the Etihad this season, then it is Liverpool and this outcome will result in numerous punters getting their losing stakes back on the biggest of the Boxing Day clashes.
If Liverpool do leave the Etihad with three points, all losing first goalscorer, last goalscorer and correct score bets will be refunded up to £50.
Three of Man City’s last four home defeats have resulted in the opposition scoring exactly three goals to beat them and with Manuel Pellegrini’s men always remembering their shooting boots at the Etihad, a 3-2 Liverpool success may be worthy of some attention.
No team in the Premier League have scored more away goals than Liverpool this season either and it is 28/1 that they beat Man City 3-2 to remain top of the standings.
Suarez is bound to be a popular first scorer bet given his current form at 5/1 and the insurance of the money back special does make this look an even nicer price.
But, Man City have scored first in eight of their nine games in all competitions since losing at Sunderland in early November and so the better bet may lie with one of their attackers.
David Silva is potentially a big first-scorer price at 8/1, but it is hard not to favour Alvaro Negredo at 9/2, especially with Sergio Aguero out injured.
In terms of match betting, Man City’s odds of 4/5 for victory could be considered generous given the fortress that the Etihad has become, with a Liverpool triumph priced at 7/2 and the draw available at 5/2.
The other interesting bet relates to how many goals Man City will score in the second half, bearing in mind they have netted at least twice after the interval in their last six at home, while the last five Liverpool have conceded have been after half time.
It is 2/1 that Man City score over 1.5 second-half goals against Liverpool.