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Tipping Tim’s Weekend Bets

| 07.09.2013

I suffered a monumental gubbage on Wednesday, at the annual Coral Golf Day. Sometimes you spot the handicap blot, make all the rights calls, and still get chinned on the jam stick by someone cheating even more. What made it all the more galling this time around was that it was my boss Ian Wassell who nailed me, and having to see the Malcolm Palmer Trophy on his desk every morning is putting me right off my work. Despite being a multiple winner off six in the not-too-distant past, Ian somehow managed to canter round off eight this time around and I suspect the corrupt handicap secretary helped himself to some of the 5/1 freely available in the morning. I’m going to spend the next eleven months hacking it round Wayne Riley’s Par Three so that I’m up to twenty-eight by next year’s extravaganza.

He might not be quite as well in as Mr Wassell, but the nap this week is Born To Surprise in the 1.55 Ascot. Michael Bell’s son of Exceed And Excel is undoubtedly a tricky customer, but he shaped like he was on the way back in a distinctly dubious race at Newbury last time (the previously exposed but heavily backed 5/2 jolly was allowed to find his own way home in front that day) and he’s weighted to go close now. He came good at this time of year last season and, under the tidy three-pound claimer Willy Twiston-Davies, he looks sure to run a big race on Saturday.

The next best this weekend has to be Cafe Society in the 3.30 Ascot. Only Jamie Spencer himself knows how he managed to get beaten on this beast at Ascot last time and, with the broadly reliable Martin Lane taking over, David Simcock’s colt only has to repeat that form to go close here. It’s a typically hot three-year-old handicap and there are plenty of progressive types in opposition, but the handicapper is starting to get hold of a few of them and that can’t be said of Cafe Society just yet.

For the Trixie I will have to chuck in my other boss James Knight’s beast Flying Bear (4.05 Ascot). James has never won the Coral Golf Day (largely because he doesn’t play golf) but, thanks to Flying Bear, he has the consolation prize of a Glorious Goodwood race and he assures me that the good thing is primed to go in again tomorrow. It’s also good insurance bet because, given that he has only just stopped telling me about Goodwood, I need a few bob to pay for some ear plugs should the Bear land the double this weekend.

Good luck with all your bets!



Paul Garbett